6

Fox Walk

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

€38,000 point winner. Showed a fair bit when third of 7 in 21f Sligo novice hurdle last month but not in the same form at Downpatrick after a breathing operation 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m4f168y Gd 1586/08C8C8 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 16631/08C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Downpatrick?5th5th0
2026-08-06Sligo?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend +23.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
31/08/20265th11/142%50%+0.08