18

Kingston Silver

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#17

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

Timeform

Commentary

Well held both starts. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1587/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1663/09C8projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-08-07Wexford?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
03/09/20269th150/10%20%+0.20