16
Our Sara
5yo Mare · 11-5
Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#18
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Thurles | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 19-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -38.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |