19

Saoirses Choice

6yo Mare · 11-5

Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#14

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

Little in the way of promise. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m Sft 16528/05C?C0 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m90y Goo 1587/06C?C8 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f193y Goo 1616/08C8projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?0
2026-08-06Sligo?9th9th0
2026-06-07Punchestown?9th9th0
2026-05-28Limerick?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/057/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 18-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -17.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
07/06/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
06/08/20269th14/126%33%+0.07