12
Undertheinfluence
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#15
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 11-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -30.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |