12
Accustomed
6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 102
Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | BHA97 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | BHA99 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Punchestown | BHA100 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wexford | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.29 |
| 14/12/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 39% | -0.14 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 94% | +0.21 |
| 28/04/2026 | 21st | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |