1

Amanha

8yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 122

Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Surpassed hurdles form when winning 5-runner novice chase at Tramore (15.6f, good to soft) on debut over fences in May 2025, soon clear. Too free to see it out at Kilbeggan 6 weeks later and off the track since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 28/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 15728/08C?C0 @ Gowran Park 04/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m Goo 1471 @ Down Royal 01/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1501/1111 @ Thurles 21/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m15y Gd 1511 @ Leopardstown 02/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 119 · 2m2f Sft 151 · below its mark02/02/2025 · OR 119 par2/021OR 119BHA117 @ Navan 22/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 117 · 2m Sft 163 · beat its mark22/03/2025 · OR 117 par1 @ Fairyhouse 22/04/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 125 · 2m Yie 149 · below its mark22/04/2025 · OR 125 par22/041OR 125C0 @ Tramore 31/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m7f130y Yie 161C8 @ Killarney 18/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 2m1f Yie 15418/07C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-18Killarney?4th4th0
2025-05-31Tramore?1st1st0
2025-04-22Fairyhouse113th13th0
2025-03-22NavanBHA1171st1st0
2025-02-02Leopardstown111th11th0
2024-12-21Thurles14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0821/1222/0418/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength15%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20247th8/158%14%-0.44
04/10/20243rd28/10%50%+0.50
01/11/20244th14/126%57%+0.31
21/12/20244th15/261%70%+0.09
02/02/202511th40/10%44%+0.44
22/03/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
22/04/202513th22/10%20%+0.20
31/05/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
18/07/20254th11/271%0%-0.71