3
Bells Grove
5yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 116
Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Cheltenham | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 46% | -0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |