11
Dairy Force
7yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 103
Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Downpatrick | BHA103 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA104 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | BHA104 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | BHA105 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA105 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA105 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 62% | -0.15 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |