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9

Del Boys Diva

6yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 105

Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved a different proposition since the tongue strap was applied, decisive in landing handicap hurdles at Roscommon/Wexford in July and better than bare facts of fifth-place finish at Kilbeggan 16 days ago, undone by step up to 19f. One to take very seriously back in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Thurles 27/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m11y Goo 15327/11C8C8 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 159C8 @ Clonmel 08/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR - · 2m202y Hvy 1538/01C8BHA87 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 87 · 2m1f Goo 155 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 87 parBHA85 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 85 · 1m7f204y Gd 153 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 85 par6/0785OR 85BHA94 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 2m150y Gd 166 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 94 parBHA105 @ Tramore 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 105 · 2m80y Gd 166 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 105 par14/08105OR 105BHA105 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 105 · 2m3f Goo 162 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 105 par3/09105OR 105projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03KilbegganBHA1055th5th0
2026-08-14TramoreBHA1055th5th0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA941st1st0
2026-07-06RoscommonBHA851st1st0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA879th9th0
2026-01-08Clonmel?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1127/0514/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/11/202510th125/10%40%+0.40
20/12/202512th150/10%8%+0.08
08/01/202615th300/10%13%+0.13
27/05/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
06/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
23/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
14/08/20265th9/276%50%-0.26
03/09/20265th20/10%73%+0.73