15
Letters To Juliet
8yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 93
Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | Down Royal | BHA96 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | Listowel | BHA96 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Downpatrick | BHA97 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Bellewstown | BHA92 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Wexford | BHA92 | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-14 | Fairyhouse | BHA92 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2023 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/11/2023 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 16/12/2023 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/08/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 27/09/2024 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 62% | -0.02 |
| 12/04/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/05/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 02/06/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 26/12/2025 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |