2
Littlefoot
8yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 118
Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA128 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA118 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA122 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 03/04/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 41% | +0.15 |
| 30/04/2025 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |