8
Shanroe
12yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 109
Navan · SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 165y
#11
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | BHA90 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Down Royal | BHA120 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Clonmel | BHA94 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA98 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Down Royal | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Killarney | BHA128 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/09/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 10/11/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/11/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 30/05/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 28/11/2025 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |