1

Any Chance
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 94
Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA96 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA97 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-31 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Fairyhouse | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 01/01/2026 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 59% | +0.43 |