10

Bayswater Bloom
5yo Mare · 11-5
Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f
#18
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Punchestown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Listowel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |