11
Duel Concept
6yo Mare · 11-5
Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-08 | Galway | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-22 | Ballinrobe | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Limerick | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 3-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/06/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/07/2025 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |