2

Grabat

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Unseated rider 1st in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (2m, good to soft, 125/1) 15 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f200y Gd 16815/06C?C8 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f85y Goo 15816/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 15821/08C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kilbeggan?0
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?8th8th0
2026-07-16Killarney?6th6th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0616/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%

Delivery trend +27.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/202611th12/137%23%-0.14
16/07/20266th150/10%38%+0.38
21/08/20268th125/10%42%+0.42