8

Mirfaq

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Being brought along steadily, sixth of 17 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (17f, good, 80/1) in June. Can take a step forward after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m70y Yie 1615/04C8C8 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 2m113y Goo 1535/06C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Clonmel?6th6th0
2026-05-08Downpatrick?0
2026-04-05Cork?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/045/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +33.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/202610th25/10%36%+0.36
05/06/20266th80/10%69%+0.69