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Oops A Daisy

4yo Filly · 11-3

Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten in 2 bumpers and 2 maiden hurdles thus far. Very hard to warm to.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 15511/05C?C0 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 15529/05C?C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 15410/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 14628/08C8projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?8th8th0
2026-07-10Cork?7th7th0
2026-05-29Tramore?11th11th0
2026-05-11Killarney?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0529/0510/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 5-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/202611th40/10%0%0.00
29/05/202611th125/10%0%0.00
10/07/20267th300/10%54%+0.54
28/08/20268th66/10%0%0.00