14

Red Acres Georgie

6yo Mare · 11-5

Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#10

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 6-figure purchase after running out an easy winner of second start in points. Showed little in 2 bumpers but still close up when fell 5 out in novice hurdle at Bellewstown (2½m, good) on hurdles bow in July.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 31/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f79y Yie 16531/12C?C0 @ Gowran Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f Hvy 16514/02C?projClass-projected finish: 16th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Bellewstown?0
2026-02-14Gowran Park?7th7th0
2025-12-31Punchestown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1214/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 19-19 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength1%

Delivery trend -36.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/12/20257th15/261%50%-0.11
14/02/20267th10/147%0%-0.47