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18

Rumble Demosa

5yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 90

Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Never dangerous in a trio of maiden hurdles, eleventh of 19 at Galway (17f, good to soft, 200/1) last month. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 15313/06C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 15124/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1591/08C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?11th11th0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?7th7th0
2026-06-13Downpatrick?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0624/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
24/07/20267th25/10%57%+0.57
01/08/202611th200/10%44%+0.44