15
Super Freak
5yo Mare · 11-5
Navan · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle · 2m 3f
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Galway | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 3-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -35.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 72% | +0.72 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.47 |
| 16/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |