15
At The Wings
6yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 73
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f
#19
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: BHA74
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA74 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA75 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA78 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA84 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | BHA87 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Galway | BHA90 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 11-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 27/05/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/09/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 29/09/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |