3

Champagne Diamond

6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f

#15

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden pointer. Tongue strap on and showed a bit more when well-held sixth of 16 on qualifying run at Killarney (2m, good to soft). Could do better back up in trip for handicap bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 04/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m2f100y Goo 1664/08C8C8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1587/08C8C8 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15822/08C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?6th6th0
2026-08-07Wexford?8th8th0
2025-08-04Cork?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/087/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%

Delivery trend +17.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/202510th20/10%31%+0.31
07/08/20268th100/10%46%+0.46
22/08/20266th125/10%67%+0.67