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18

Glendaars Secret

5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 93

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f

#18

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held at long odds 3 maiden starts (hinted at ability). Reasonable to think he can do better in first-time tongue strap on handicap debut/return, for all the handicapper hasn't taken any chances with his opening mark. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.3 /10 (raw 12.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR - · 2m1f88y Gd 1584/05C8C8 @ Downpatrick 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f185y Goo 15822/05C8C8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 20th of 24 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1666/06C8projClass-projected finish: 19th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Punchestown?20th20th0
2026-05-22Downpatrick?6th6th0
2026-05-04Down Royal?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0522/056/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 7-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%

Delivery trend -13.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/202611th200/10%44%+0.44
22/05/20266th100/10%64%+0.64
06/06/202620th80/10%17%+0.17