5
Hatfield Hammer
7yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 92
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA92 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA93 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA93 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA94 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | BHA98 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Sligo | BHA98 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2024 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 28/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 24/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 29/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |