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7

Maxicourt

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Encouraging that he arrives on the back of consecutive good efforts (typically inconsistent). Travelled smoothly to finish as close as he has when 1-length third behind Pure Logic at Killarney (2½m). Weighted to reverse that form and be firmly in the mix, provided he's in the same mood here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 98 · 1m7f200y Yie 161 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 98 par23/11C8OR 98BHA98 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 24 · OR 98 · 2m4f Sft 156 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 98 parC8 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 97 · 2m26y Yie 166 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 97 par20/12C8OR 97BHA95 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m80y Goo 163 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 95 parBHA93 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m3f50y Goo 149 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 93 par10/0593OR 93BHA88 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 23 · OR 88 · 2m1f60y Goo 156 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m1f Goo 158 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 90 par3/0890OR 90BHA89 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 89 · 2m4f100y Gd 161 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 89 parBHA89 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 89 · 2m4f50y Goo 160 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 89 par22/0889OR 89projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA893rd3rd0
2026-08-13TramoreBHA895th5th0
2026-08-03CorkBHA907th7th0
2026-07-10CorkBHA883rd3rd0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA900
2026-05-10CorkBHA939th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1120/043/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20255th66/10%73%+0.73
07/12/202514th25/10%43%+0.43
20/12/202510th40/10%25%+0.25
20/04/20268th17/255%53%-0.02
10/05/20269th12/137%43%+0.06
10/07/20263rd28/10%91%+0.91
03/08/20267th2/189%60%-0.29
13/08/20265th9/276%73%-0.03
22/08/20263rd5/174%86%+0.12