9

Noble Rocco

4yo Filly · 10-13 · OR 87

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Longish odds all 3 maiden starts, finishing 24 lengths third of 12 at Wexford (17f, good, 40/1) latest. Remains with the potential to do better now switched to a handicap/longer trip by top yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m148y Goo 15725/05C?C8 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 14612/07C8C8 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m Gd 14613/08C8C8 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m190y Gd 14628/08C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Wexford?3rd3rd0
2026-08-13Tramore?7th7th0
2026-07-12Sligo?9th9th0
2026-05-25Ballinrobe?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0512/0713/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20267th10/147%40%-0.07
12/07/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
13/08/20267th50/10%45%+0.45
28/08/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82