6
Scary Askari
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Punchestown | BHA94 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | BHA94 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/09/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 31/12/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |