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Sekakarma

9yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 87

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly raced for his age. Had been knocking on the door and didn't need to improve to get off the mark at Wexford (2½m), keeping on gamely having been well positioned. A double may just prove beyond him off 4 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 15/05/2023 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 15815/05C8C8 @ Down Royal 10/11/2023 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m6f110y Sft 166C8 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 16th of 22 · OR - · 2m4f50y Sft 16617/11C8BHA84 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 84 · 2m Goo 153 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 84 parBHA84 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 84 · 2m4f80y Goo 152 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 84 par30/0584OR 84BHA81 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 81 · 2m1f165y Gd 149 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 81 parBHA79 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 79 · 2m4f55y Goo 147 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 79 par7/0879OR 79BHA82 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 82 · 2m4f148y Gd 152 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 82 parBHA83 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 83 · 2m4f100y Gd 151 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 83 par28/0883OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28WexfordBHA831st1st0
2026-08-19SligoBHA823rd3rd0
2026-08-07WexfordBHA792nd2nd0
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA814th4th0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA849th9th0
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA845th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0513/057/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1994% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength88%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20236th250/10%64%+0.64
10/11/20237th150/10%57%+0.57
17/11/202516th250/10%29%+0.29
13/05/20265th40/10%76%+0.76
30/05/20269th14/126%53%+0.27
14/07/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
07/08/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
19/08/20263rd6/168%87%+0.18
28/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18