10
Tomas O Maille
9yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 85
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 3f
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA86 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA84 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA87 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA91 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 26/09/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 12/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |