17
Amron Diamond
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 72
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f
#16
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA72 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Clonmel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-04 | Cork | BHA73 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Cork | BHA73 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Wexford | BHA72 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Killarney | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2024 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 09/03/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 23/03/2025 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/04/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 11/07/2025 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 81% | +0.26 |
| 14/05/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |