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6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f

#7

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Middle-distance winner on Flat (fair form for current yard). Back on the up in this sphere when smooth-travelling third in first-time hood/tongue strap at Bellewstown (2½m), only denied by ¾-length. Looks up to going one better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m190y Yie 1661/11C8C8 @ Leopardstown 26/12/2025 · Pos 17th of 22 · OR - · 2m Yie 166C8 @ Down Royal 20/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f33y Yie 16620/01C8BHA68 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 68 · 1m5f Goo 138 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 2m45y Sft 133 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 68 par21/055OR 68BHA95 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m3f12y Goo 148 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 95 parBHA95 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m2f160y Goo 166 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 95 par10/0795OR 95BHA68 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 68 · 1m6f14y Yie 138 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 68 parBHA94 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 94 · 2m4f110y Goo 164 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 94 par26/0894OR 94projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26BellewstownBHA943rd3rd0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA688th8th0
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA955th5th0
2026-06-07PunchestownBHA955th5th0
2026-05-21Haydock53rd3rd0
2026-04-25NavanBHA687th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1125/0410/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
26/12/202517th150/10%24%+0.24
20/01/202615th200/10%26%+0.26
25/04/20267th33/10%68%+0.68
21/05/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
07/06/20265th6/168%73%+0.05
10/07/20265th3/184%73%-0.11
31/07/20268th5/174%59%-0.15
26/08/20263rd11/486%87%+0.01