18
Jolly Potter
7yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 77
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f
#14
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.4 /10 (raw 12.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA80 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Naas | ? | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2023-04-24 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-03-30 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +20.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2023 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 24/04/2023 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |
| 22/02/2026 | 20th | 300/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 21/07/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |