IvyArcIvyArc
3

Jurality

5yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 97

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Most recent hurdle run was his best one when 6 lengths fourth at Bellewstown in April. Ridden more positively to win on Flat since, though did too much too soon in refitted blinkers (now removed) in handicap here last time. Could do better again back hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA49 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 49 · 1m3f190y Yie 131 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 49 par25/0449OR 49BHA48 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR 48 · 1m4f180y Gd 130 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 48 parBHA48 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 48 · 2m Goo 130 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 48 par29/0548OR 48BHA51 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 51 · 1m5f Goo 133 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 51 parBHA57 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 57 · 1m6f109y Gd 139 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 57 par2/0757OR 57BHA63 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m6f80y Gd 133 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Leopardstown 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 63 · 1m7f Goo 133 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 63 par23/0763OR 63BHA62 @ Killarney 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m6f80y Gd 132 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 60 · 2m Goo 150 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 60 par2/0960OR 60projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA6012th12th0
2026-08-21KillarneyBHA625th5th0
2026-07-23LeopardstownBHA638th8th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA635th5th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA572nd2nd0
2026-06-07NavanBHA511st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/047/0623/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 3-17 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20265th5/174%73%-0.00
15/05/20263rd16/583%89%+0.06
29/05/20262nd4/179%92%+0.13
07/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
02/07/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05
15/07/20265th3/184%60%-0.24
23/07/20268th11/271%13%-0.59
21/08/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
02/09/202612th33/10%27%+0.27