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King Of The Greys

5yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 99

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame sole outing in points. No show either handicap start, latterly dropped into this grade with first-time hood added at Kilbeggan in late-July.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 04/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 25 · OR - · 2m4f Yie 1664/04C8C8 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m80y Goo 15820/04C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR - · 2m1f88y Gd 1584/05C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA1000
2026-06-13DownpatrickBHA1020
2026-05-04Down Royal?8th8th0
2026-04-20Tramore?8th8th0
2026-04-04Fairyhouse?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0420/044/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +9.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/202615th80/10%42%+0.42
20/04/20268th18/15%30%+0.25
04/05/20268th200/10%61%+0.61