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15

Magic Hands Noel

5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77

Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shown little at long odds in maiden hurdles. Promising claimer booked for handicap debut/return. Needs a market check.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 18.0 /10 (raw 18.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 16/11/2025 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR - · 2m Hvy 16116/11C8C8 @ Punchestown 22/11/2025 · Pos 18th of 24 · OR - · 2m3f87y Sft 15422/11C8C8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR - · 2m3f Sft 15415/12C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 15/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 15915/01C8projClass-projected finish: 19th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-15Fairyhouse?15th15th0
2025-12-15Naas?17th17th0
2025-11-22Punchestown?18th18th0
2025-11-16Navan?22th22th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1122/1115/1215/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength8%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/202522nd100/10%0%0.00
22/11/202518th200/10%26%+0.26
15/12/202517th400/10%16%+0.16
15/01/202615th150/10%0%0.00