13
Movie King
9yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA84 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Clonmel | BHA47 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Kilbeggan | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Kilbeggan | BHA85 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-17 | Dundalk | BHA50 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2024 | 18th | 28/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2024 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 20/12/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 54% | -0.04 |
| 17/01/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 22/08/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 11/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |