6
No Big Deal
6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 95
Navan · Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 3f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C9.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA97 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | BHA98 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | BHA99 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | BHA99 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Clonmel | BHA93 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | BHA91 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1950% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 18/5 | 81% | 90% | +0.09 |
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 81% | +0.05 |
| 02/12/2025 | 10th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 53% | -0.26 |