IvyArcIvyArc
2

C Pas Possible

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

More one for handicaps after this based on his 2 efforts this summer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m7f116y Goo 1667/06C8C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR - · 2m6f Gd 16629/07C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Galway?9th9th0
2026-06-07Punchestown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +20.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20263rd11/142%80%+0.38
29/07/20269th33/10%58%+0.58