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12

Emerald Enigma

6yo Mare · 11-5

Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won both bumpers in the spring. Turned over at 4/6 on 17f Cork hurdle debut last month but the experience should bring her on and the longer trip promises to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m Yie 16519/03C?C0 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 16113/05C?C8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1613/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-05-13Punchestown?1st1st0
2026-03-19Cork?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0313/053/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -9.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
13/05/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
03/08/20263rd4/696%88%-0.08