5

Kalico Leader

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f

#18

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made frame both completed starts in points. Shaped as if needing more of a test when fifth of 14 in maiden at Bellewstown (2½m, good) on hurdle debut 24 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m4f110y Goo 15826/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Bellewstown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20265th33/10%69%+0.69