6

Lengaruka

5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 97

Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has made steady progress in his 3 starts (third at Sligo latest) but more will be needed to go close here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1586/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 15824/07C8C8 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m4f148y Gd 15819/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Sligo?3rd3rd0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0724/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/202610th40/10%36%+0.36
24/07/20265th33/10%71%+0.71
19/08/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45