Master Sydney
5yo Mare · 11-5
Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA63 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA65 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | BHA65 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA67 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 21% | -0.26 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 25/04/2026 | 21st | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 20/05/2026 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 8% | -0.68 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.17 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 18/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |