7

Morale Boost

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Timeform

Commentary

Went the wrong way in points after debut success and no encouragement on Galway hurdle debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR - · 2m160y Yie 1667/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Galway?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20269th125/10%58%+0.58