15
Pamelaisbrass
5yo Mare · 11-5
Navan · Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle · 2m 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Naas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |