13
Diamond Tipp
6yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 100
Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA101 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | BHA102 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA102 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA104 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA106 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength8%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 14/07/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |