6

Latopix

5yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 105

Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bumper winner who produced her best effort over hurdles when second in 18-runner maiden at Punchestown (2¾m) in June. Not in the same form when filling that position at Limerick but clearly ran too badly to be true on handicap bow at Cork last time. Blinkers and tongue strap combination applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 26/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13626/05C55 @ Doncaster 30/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m128y Goo 16330/1151 @ Cheltenham 01/01/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m179y Sft 1471/011C8 @ Gowran Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 2m20y Hvy 1548/11C8C8 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 25 · OR - · 2m Sft 1546/12C8C8 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 2m5f139y Goo 1617/06C8C8 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 106 · 2m4f Gd 159 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 106 par2/07C8OR 106projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14TramoreBHA1050
2026-07-02Limerick?2nd2nd0
2026-06-07Punchestown?2nd2nd0
2025-12-06Navan?8th8th0
2025-11-08Gowran Park?3rd3rd0
2025-01-01Cheltenham112th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/058/112/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20241st22/10%100%+1.00
30/11/20247th5/287%33%-0.54
01/01/202512th28/10%27%+0.27
08/11/20253rd10/382%88%+0.06
06/12/20258th14/126%71%+0.45
07/06/20262nd9/276%94%+0.18
02/07/20262nd11/486%94%+0.09