3

Ottoman Style

10yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110

Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f

#13

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has lost the plot since his sound reappearance, looking none too keen prior to pulling up at Bellewstown latest. Visor on for 1st time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 03/12/2022 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 115 · 2m4f40y Goo 158 · below its mark03/12/2022 · OR 115 par3/12C8OR 115BHA115 @ Gowran Park 18/02/2023 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 115 · 2m4f20y Sft 158 · beat its mark18/02/2023 · OR 115 parC8 @ Down Royal 17/03/2023 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 121 · 2m4f Sft 164 · beat its mark17/03/2023 · OR 121 par17/03C8OR 121BHA129 @ Fairyhouse 10/04/2023 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR 129 · 2m5f155y Yie 157 · below its mark10/04/2023 · OR 129 parBHA122 @ Fairyhouse 24/11/2023 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 122 · 2m110y Sft 166 · below its mark24/11/2023 · OR 122 par24/11122OR 122BHA122 @ Down Royal 06/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 122 · 2m3f150y Goo 166 · below its mark06/05/2024 · OR 122 parBHA122 @ Kilbeggan 17/06/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 122 · 2m4f51y Goo 166 · below its mark17/06/2024 · OR 122 par17/06122OR 122BHA123 @ Naas 09/03/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 123 · 2m3f109y Sft 154 · below its mark09/03/2025 · OR 123 parBHA118 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 118 · 3m50y Gd 160 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 118 par15/05118OR 118projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA1140
2026-06-07PunchestownBHA1170
2026-05-15KilbegganBHA1184th4th0
2025-11-16NavanBHA1210
2025-03-09NaasBHA12311th11th0
2024-12-16NaasBHA1230

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1210/0417/0615/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20223rd18/15%78%+0.73
18/02/20231st14/126%100%+0.74
17/03/20231st15/261%100%+0.39
10/04/20238th13/266%61%-0.05
24/11/20234th25/10%67%+0.67
06/05/20247th9/276%45%-0.31
17/06/20247th28/10%54%+0.54
09/03/202511th50/10%33%+0.33
15/05/20264th50/10%57%+0.57