17
Pourquoi Poi
5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 97
Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA96 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | BHA96 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | BHA96 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | BHA97 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 53% | -0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |